NYC 9/11 Public Portal Document
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THE COST
Assessing Financial Damages
The New York City Comptroller's Office has released a preliminary
report estimating the impact of the World Trade Center altack on the
economy of New York City.
In billions
of dollars
22S90:1053
• TOTAL ESTIMATED LOSS.EE?:.
•Capital Loss
• PROPERTY LOSS AND DAMAGE
Replacement of buildings in trade center complex
Repair or replacement of buildings around compiex
Port Authority (losses separate from complex)......
Metropolitan Transportation Authorily
AT&T, Verizon and Con Ed......
Retail-space inventory and fixtures-.
Technology losses at securilies firms in ihe trade center '.
Technology losses al other companies
Business fixtures
• HUMAN CAPITAL (LIVES LOST)* -
6.7
12.0
2.4
3.0
2.0
2.0
3.2
0.5
2.5
11.0
Continuing Economic Costs
• FROPERTY CLEANUP/RESCUE/POLICING
Already spent on cleanup
Additional budget for cleanup
Private spending for cleanup
Police and fire overtime
Police and fire equipment, road reconstruction and school aid
1.0
.'5.0
1.0
3.6
3.6
• HUMAN DISABILITY AND TRAUMA
Leave from work
Medical cost …......
Pain and suffering
1.2
0.7
0.8
• BUSINESS INTERRUPTION AND LIABILITY LOSSES
First four days
Next four weeks
'Next nine months
1.8
4.9
14.2
Losses due to jobs relocated out of the city:
Rents and wages this year
Rents and wages next year
4.0
3.0-18.0
*Based on the average income and expected working lives of the dead.
The New York Tlmes
THE NEW YORK TIMES, FRIDAY, OCTOBER 5, 2001
1g#BI1
THEECONOMY
City Says the Attack Could Cost $105 Billion
By LESLIE EATON
for unemployment benefits in the
budget, as required by law, Mr. Hev-
City, Comptroller Alan G. Hevesi
last week' said, it was because of the
esi said. But the next fiscal year may
issued the first official estimate yes-
trade center disaster, bringing the
be more of a problem. The comptrol-
terday of how much the World Trade
total of disaster-related job losses so
ler's office had been predicting. a
Center disaster will cost New York-
far to 16,747, according to the New
deficit of at least $3.6 billion, and that
ers, and the number is a shocker: as
York State Department of Labor.
will grow if tax collections fall by an
much as $105 billion over the next
The Hevesi report estimates that
estimated $567 million.
the city will lose 115,274 jobs in its
The report calculates that replac-
The estimate includes $34 billion in
property damage and up to $60 bil-
lion in economic costs, Including lost
jobs and lost rents.
The encyclopedic study calculates
everything from the cost of rebuild-
ing the twin towers ($6.7 billion) to
revenue lost because lewer traffic
tickets will be issued ($82 mition).
While the comptroller's office is
widely respected for its economic
forecasts, it is clearly in the city's
interest to make the total as big as
possible so that officials can ask for
increased federal aid. Mr. Hevesi
urged them to do so, saying, "We
current fiscal year, which ends June
ing the entire trade center complex
30. The largest losses - 28,717 - will
damaged bulidings
come in services, including at least
nearby will cost $12 billion. The Port
"Sales, retail or
Authority of New York and New Jer-
wholesale, will also be hard hit, with
sey's losses in addition to the trade
job losses of more than 17,000.
center (it owned the buildings and
But the biggest chunk of lost wages
leased them to a private developer)
- which will total almost $9.6 billion
will come from a loss of Wall
Street paychecks totaling $3.4 billion.
One of the report's most contro-
versial figures may be its estimate of
the loss of "human capital," $1l bil-
lion. "It is impossible to put a real
value on a human life and the pain of
losing a loved one," Mr. Hevesi said.
But Mr. Hevesi noted that econo-
The report was
issued as Gov.
mists "ascribe value to human life"
George E. Pataki's budget director
by calculating how much people
estimated that the stare would lose
might earn in their working years.
$1 billion to $3 billion in revenues in •
Economists in his office assumed
the fiscal year that ends in April, and
that about 5,600 people were killed in
$2 billion to $6 billion in the. next
the disaster, that they had about 20
fiscal year, as a result of the attack
working years left apiece, and that
on the trade center. The budget di-
their average income was $100,000.
E.'Stone, acknowl-
The damage to the city's budget,
edged i that those were rough esti-
while serious, is not as severe as the
mates: based mostly on anecdotal
overall injury to the economy, Mr.
The governor has promised to bal-
ance this year's budget without re-
sorting to layoffs or tax increases.
Ms. Stone ordered state agencies in a
letter yesterday to hold spending in
their budgets for next year at this
people who applied
•Tax collections are likely to drop
by $738 million this fiscal year, the
report said. The biggest decline will
be in hotel and sales taxes, which are
forecast to fall by $338 million.
Because the city has been running
a small surplus, it will be able to take
"manageable" steps to balance its
Fixing the subways will cost about
$3 billion, while repairing phone and
electrical systems will cost $2 billion.
Replacing what was lost in the trade
center's stores adds another $2 bil-
lion to the tab. The report estimates
the value of property in and around
the towers, from cars in the garages
to computers, was $12 billion.
There will be some money coming
into the city that will help offset New
Yorkers' losses, the report notes.
Families of the victims are likely to
receive about $4 billion from life
insurance payments, while property
insurance should contribute $17 bil-
lion. Other kinds of insurance, cover-
ing disabled workers and interrupted
business, could pay as much as $18
billion, while workers' compensation
would amount to about $3 billion.
Finally, there is federal and state
aid. Congress has appropriated $20
billion for recovery, but the money
must be shared with Pennsylvania
where hijacked
planes also caused damage. "Clear-
ly, given the costs," Mr. Hevesi said,
"this will not be enough."
33
NYC
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